Comercial vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BSP
4 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BSP
0 - 2
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |