Comercial vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
COM
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
OES
16%
21%
64%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |