Comercial vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
INT
0 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
FER
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
BAT
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
TAU
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |