Comercial vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COM
5 - 0
MAT
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
RIO
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
IND
2 - 3
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
IND
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |