Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Comercial vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
COM
3 - 1
LIN
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
BAT
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 3
COM
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COM
3 - 2
PRI
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BER
3 - 2
BAT
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAT
0 - 3
BER
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 3
BER
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BER
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
BER
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |