Comercial vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TAB
0 - 0
COM
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
COM
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
PRI
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PRI
0 - 0
COM
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BER
0 - 2
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 0
BER
52%
25%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BER
3 - 1
CAP
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 2
BER
68%
19%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |