Comercial vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
OES
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 3
SAN
27%
27%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
3 - 1
CAT
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 4
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |