Comercial vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
COM
2 - 2
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |