Comercial vs Botafogo SP B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COM
3 - 3
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BSP
4 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BSP
1 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
BSP
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 0
BSP
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BSP
4 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
BSP
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |