Comercial vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
RIO
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 3
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
ATI
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
BAT
63%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
MIR
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAT
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |