Comercial vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
DES
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 1
COM
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
COM
2 - 3
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BAT
1 - 3
COM
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
JOS
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
DES
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |