Comercial U20 vs São José U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
RET
32%
22%
46%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
CHA
5%
15%
80%
|
5 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
JAC
36%
22%
42%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
NOV
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
São José U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 0
SJP
70%
17%
12%
|
8 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 1
SJP
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 52 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 1
SJP
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
SJP
3 - 2
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
OSA
0 - 2
SJP
49%
24%
28%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |