Comercial MS vs Sinop FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COM
2 - 3
7DE
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
7DE
1 - 0
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
OPE
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 2
COM
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sinop FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 0
CUI
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CUI
2 - 1
SIN
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SIN
4 - 0
DBO
25%
23%
53%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DBO
2 - 3
SIN
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 1
SIN
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |