Comercial MS vs Operário MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
COM
2 - 3
COS
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
OPE
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
COM
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 3
COM
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
COM
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AQU
1 - 3
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
AOU
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
COS
1 - 1
OPE
53%
23%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAV
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |