Comercial MS vs Coxim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
OPE
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
COM
2 - 3
COS
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
OPE
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
COM
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 3
COM
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Coxim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
5 - 0
COX
26%
21%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
COX
2 - 0
NAV
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AQU
5 - 1
COX
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
COX
1 - 2
AOU
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
COX
3 - 1
AGU
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |