Comercial MS vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
COM
69%
20%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COM
1 - 3
CEI
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
SIN
19%
25%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COM
2 - 3
7DE
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 0
SIN
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
SIN
2 - 2
ANA
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
ANA
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
ANA
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |