Comercial de Tietê Sub 20 vs Juventude U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial de Tietê Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
AME
4%
14%
82%
|
6 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
CAP
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
IFC
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventude U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
AGU
48%
22%
31%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 4
JUV
35%
25%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 0
CON
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |