Comercial PI vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
4 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 2
MIX
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
6 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MIX
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |