Comercial PI vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COR
4 - 0
CAC
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
CAC
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
4DE
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
CAC
8%
13%
80%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
FPI
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
FPI
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
ALT
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 1
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 0
FPI
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |