Comercial PI vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 0
CAC
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 3
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
TDC
1 - 1
CAC
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 1
4DE
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
IND
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
REC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
IND
4 - 1
CAC
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |