Comercial PI vs Araguaína analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 0
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAC
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 3
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
PIC
2 - 1
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAY
5 - 0
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
LUV
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
RIO
17%
22%
62%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |