Colwyn Bay vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 0
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
COL
64%
20%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
WOR
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
COL
2 - 4
VAU
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
GAI
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIS
3 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
TOW
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |