Colwyn Bay vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 2
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
LEA
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
STO
0 - 1
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
GUI
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
STA
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 1
WOR
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
17%
22%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 1
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |