Colwyn Bay vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
TOW
4 - 0
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COL
6 - 3
DRO
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
HAL
25%
22%
53%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 3
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 2
HYD
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 1
TOW
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BIS
1 - 1
WOR
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 0
ALT
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +3 |