Colwyn Bay vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
COL
72%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
HIS
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
GAI
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
2 - 2
HED
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 2
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 0
VAU
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
3 - 2
GLO
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |