Colwyn Bay vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
HIS
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
TOW
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 1
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 1
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 2
GLO
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
4 - 0
BOS
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STA
0 - 1
VAU
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TOW
3 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |