Colwyn Bay vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 1
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
COL
59%
21%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 0
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 2
WOR
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 0
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HYD
4 - 2
VAU
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
VAU
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
4 - 4
KID
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |