Colwyn Bay vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
DYF
0 - 1
COL
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BAN
2 - 3
COL
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
RHY
0 - 3
COL
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
COR
2 - 3
COL
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
COL
3 - 1
GRE
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
RHY
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
POR
4 - 1
GRE
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
COR
89%
8%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
POR
7 - 0
BER
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | -1 |