Colwyn Bay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
6º
5º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 1
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
43%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |