Colwyn Bay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
6º
5º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 1
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |