Colwyn Bay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
12º
12º
28
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PON
0 - 3
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
5 - 0
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 1
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 3
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 4
PEN
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
ABE
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 2
PEN
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |