Colwyn Bay vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
TOW
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
4 - 1
COL
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
WOR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 2
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BUX
1 - 4
NOR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
ALT
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
WOR
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 0
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 0
HED
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |