Colwyn Bay vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
TOW
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 1
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 1
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
HIS
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 4
BRA
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 4
CHE
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 2
BOR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HIS
3 - 4
COR
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |