Colwyn Bay vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
COL
3 - 1
GLO
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GAI
6 - 3
COL
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TOW
0 - 3
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TOW
4 - 1
HYD
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
TOW
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 1
STO
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TOW
5 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |