Colwyn Bay vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TOW
0 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
TAM
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 1
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
71%
17%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUI
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LOW
0 - 0
GUI
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
HYD
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HYD
0 - 0
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |