Colwyn Bay vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
OXF
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
COL
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
GAI
18%
22%
61%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GLO
0 - 1
COR
54%
22%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 2
GAI
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
STA
4 - 0
GLO
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 0
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 1
VAU
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |