Colwyn Bay vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 2
COL
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
HAL
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HIS
2 - 1
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 2
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
GLO
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 3
CHE
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 1
GAI
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
VAU
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
CHE
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |