Colwyn Bay vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
GRA
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 2
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 0
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BLY
3 - 0
COL
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COL
0 - 4
BAR
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 0
BUX
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
BUX
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BUX
3 - 1
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
HYD
2 - 1
BUX
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BUX
1 - 1
HAL
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |