Colwyn Bay vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 0
COL
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 3
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
HIN
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
BIS
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
BOS
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 1
BRA
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |