Colwyn Bay vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
BOS
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
GUI
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 3
STA
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
BRA
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 4
BRA
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
DRO
53%
22%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
COR
0 - 4
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |