Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GLO
0 - 1
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
HIS
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 1
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
WOR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SOL
2 - 0
ALT
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALT
4 - 1
WOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 1
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HYD
2 - 1
ALT
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |