Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
LLA
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
COL
4%
13%
83%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COL
3 - 0
PEN
89%
8%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
7%
15%
79%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AIR
3 - 0
GUI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 4
HAV
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 3
FLI
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
AIR
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |