Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 2
COC
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
COC
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
COC
2 - 3
RSL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RSL
1 - 0
COC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COC
0 - 1
NER
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RBN
5 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
RSL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
SJE
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CFS
2 - 2
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |