MLS Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Columbus Crew vs Tampa Bay Mutiny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 2
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
COC
1 - 1
TAM
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
RBN
0 - 1
COC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
COC
4 - 0
KCW
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 2
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
COC
1 - 1
TAM
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 5
DCU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
DCU
1 - 2
TAM
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |