Columbus Crew vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COC
3 - 2
IMI
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COC
4 - 0
KCW
44%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COC
4 - 1
ASV
26%
25%
50%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
COC
48%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
COC
1 - 1
CHA
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 2
NYC
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NER
1 - 1
NYC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 2
NYC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
NYC
0 - 0
QRO
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
NYC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |