Columbus Crew vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COC
4 - 1
ASV
26%
25%
50%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
COC
48%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
COC
1 - 1
CHA
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 5
COC
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COC
4 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
KCW
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 1
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
1 - 1
STC
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
KCW
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 2
KCW
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |