Columbus Crew vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
COC
2 - 1
CFS
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
SES
0 - 2
COC
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SJE
1 - 1
COC
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COC
2 - 1
DAL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
COC
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 2
ROC
23%
28%
49%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
DAY
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PNN
4 - 0
DAY
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
DAY
70%
21%
9%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ORA
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |