Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
COC
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RBN
3 - 2
COC
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 2
COC
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COC
3 - 0
CFS
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 4
CFS
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
CFS
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 1
NER
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 2
COC
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COC
3 - 0
CFS
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |