Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
COC
2 - 0
NER
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 4
COC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
COC
1 - 3
VAN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 1
COC
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SES
1 - 0
CFS
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
CFS
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 2
DCU
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 2
TOR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CFS
3 - 0
PHU
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |