Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
COR
2 - 0
COC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
COC
1 - 0
DCU
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NER
3 - 0
COC
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
COC
3 - 0
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
COC
1 - 1
NER
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2005 |
CFS
0 - 3
NER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
RBN
0 - 1
CFS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CFS
2 - 1
SJE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DCU
1 - 1
CFS
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
DAL
2 - 1
CFS
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |