Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MIA
4 - 1
COC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
COC
2 - 1
MIA
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1999 |
CFS
1 - 2
COC
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
NER
0 - 0
COC
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
COC
1 - 2
RBN
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1999 |
COR
0 - 1
CFS
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CFS
2 - 2
DCU
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
CFS
1 - 1
LDA
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
CFS
2 - 0
JOE
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SJE
2 - 0
CFS
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |